From September 2025, the Philippines—accounting for over 40% of Vietnam’s rice export volume—temporarily suspended imports of Vietnamese rice. The measure was initially set for 60 days but was later extended through the end of 2025, putting pressure on export prices, increasing inventories, and disrupting shipment schedules for many exporters. As a result, Vietnam’s rice export value declined sharply in Q4/2025.
Positive signals for 2026
On December 15, 2025, the Bureau of Plant Industry (BPI) under the Philippine Department of Agriculture issued new guidelines, officially allowing the resumption of rice imports from January 1, 2026. This marks an important reopening step following a period of import controls aimed at stabilizing domestic rice prices in the Philippines.
Key points for businesses to note
• Imported rice may only be cleared through 17 designated ports, including Subic, Batangas, Manila, Cebu, Davao, General Santos, and Tacloban.
• Zamboanga and Tacloban ports apply 100% inspection, while other ports conduct random checks by plant quarantine authorities.
• Phytosanitary, quality, and traceability documentation requirements are stricter than in previous periods.
Export outlook for early 2026
• Vietnam’s rice exports are expected to recover from Q1/2026 as the Philippines resumes imports to offset supply shortages.
• Rice prices are likely to stabilize and increase slightly, rather than experience sharp fluctuations as seen in late 2025.
• The Philippines remains Vietnam’s number one key market, continuing to play a leading role in driving export demand.
Recommendations for exporters
• Proactively control product quality and prepare complete phytosanitary documentation in line with the new requirements.
• Select appropriate ports of entry to minimize the risk of 100% inspections and customs delays.
• Closely monitor policy updates from the Philippines to better plan production and shipment schedules.
Conclusion: Early 2026 presents a clear opportunity for Vietnam’s rice exports to recover. However, the advantage will belong to businesses that are well prepared, fully compliant, and flexible in adapting to market changes.
